Qualification · Qualification 23

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

277.31 – 126.88

87%13%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

362 – 174

Prediction correct · off by 65.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 621 ±9.3

7503Radicubs

Season APEX 125.2Event APEX 41.59Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

148Robowranglers

Season APEX 253.9Event APEX 142.19Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3005RoboChargers

Season APEX 241.9Event APEX 93.53Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 362.5 ±11.2

4206Robo Vikes

Season APEX 201.8Event APEX 67.66Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6672Fusion Corps

Season APEX 120.9Event APEX 35.6Rank 12Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9786MHS Wolfpack Team 9786

Season APEX 39.8Event APEX 23.62Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7503, 148, 3005

/ 100 compat

Projected

277.3 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 7503, 148, 3005

Auto

48.8 18%

Teleop

166.4 60%

Endgame

62.8 23%

Strengths

· 148 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4206, 6672, 9786

/ 100 compat

Projected

126.9 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 4206, 6672, 9786

Auto

22.8 19%

Teleop

58.3 50%

Endgame

36.3 31%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.27 · Blue 0.71

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score277.3pts

Blue projected score126.9pts

Red win probability87%

Event bonus sample126alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 49%, blue 40%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 150.4
Score range: 108–296
Upset likelihood: 13%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 536 vs event baseline 104.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

621Season APEX362.5

48.8Auto22.8

166.4Teleop58.3

62.8Endgame36.3

34Consistency50

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	72	28
teleop	202	94
endgame	68	47
foul	20	5
total	362	174

Result

Final score

362 – 174

Prediction correct · off by 65.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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