Qualification · Qualification 20
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
211.3 – 118.51
76%24%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
268 – 30
Prediction correct · off by 72.6 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 494.4 ±10.7
Season APEX 253.9Event APEX 140.73Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 38.7Event APEX 16.28Rank 14Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 201.8Event APEX 54.29Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 273.9 ±10.4
Season APEX 86.7Event APEX 52.84Rank 11Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 120.9Event APEX 44.11Rank 12Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 66.3Event APEX 21.56Rank 18Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 148, 9137, 4206
77
/ 100 compatProjected
211.3 pts
~2.0 RP (district)
Teams: 148, 9137, 4206
Auto
33.1 16%
Teleop
136.7 66%
Endgame
36.1 18%
Strengths
- · 148 anchors offense
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 46%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 4192, 6672, 3676
69
/ 100 compatProjected
118.5 pts
~0.9 RP (district)
Teams: 4192, 6672, 3676
Auto
21.8 19%
Teleop
57.6 51%
Endgame
33.9 30%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 46%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.03 · Blue 0.9
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score211.3pts
Blue projected score118.5pts
Red win probability76%
Event bonus sample126alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 46%, blue 38%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 92.8
- Score range
- 100–230
- Upset likelihood
- 24%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
494.4Season APEX273.9
33.1Auto21.8
136.7Teleop57.6
36.1Endgame33.9
0Consistency119
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 34 | 12 |
| teleop | 146 | 8 |
| endgame | 88 | 5 |
| foul | 0 | 5 |
| total | 268 | 30 |
Result
Final score
268 – 30
Prediction correct · off by 72.6 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
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