Qualification · Qualification 2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

56.27 – 21.33

61%39%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

70 – 16

Prediction correct · off by 9.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 127.2 ±15.3

7534Dragonflies

Season APEX 25.6Event APEX 20.72Rank 24Record 2-3-0Status establishedConfidence 76

4641TALON Inc.

Season APEX 61.8Event APEX 10.21Rank 10Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9786MHS Wolfpack Team 9786

Season APEX 39.8Event APEX 25.34Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 127.9 ±14.9

9137Bionic Vipers

Season APEX 38.7Event APEX 4.06Rank 14Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5212TAMSformers Robotics

Season APEX 21.4Event APEX 12.44Rank 19Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 76

4153Project Y

Season APEX 67.8Event APEX 4.83Rank 16Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7534, 4641, 9786

/ 100 compat

Projected

56.3 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 7534, 4641, 9786

Auto

9.5 22%

Teleop

18.2 42%

Endgame

15.2 35%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 30%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9137, 5212, 4153

/ 100 compat

Projected

21.3 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 9137, 5212, 4153

Auto

11.2 63%

Teleop

-5.8 0%

Endgame

12.4 70%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 30%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.55 · Blue 1.14

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score56.3pts

Blue projected score21.3pts

Red win probability61%

Event bonus sample126alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 30%, blue 31%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 34.9
Score range: -5–82
Upset likelihood: 39%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 86 vs event baseline 144.8.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

127.2Season APEX127.9

9.5Auto11.2

18.2Teleop-5.8

15.2Endgame12.4

31Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	8	8
teleop	9	8
endgame	8	0
foul	45	0
total	70	16

Result

Final score

70 – 16

Prediction correct · off by 9.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.