Qualification · Qualification 18

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

139.93 – 83.66

67%33%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

100 – 18

Prediction correct · off by 52.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 341.3 ±10.4

2714♨️ BBQ ♨️

Season APEX 134.9Event APEX 113.02Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3310Black Hawk Robotics

Season APEX 137.7Event APEX 33.04Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6901Knights

Season APEX 68.7Event APEX -6.13Rank 21Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 119.6 ±14.9

9786MHS Wolfpack Team 9786

Season APEX 39.8Event APEX 27.84Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5212TAMSformers Robotics

Season APEX 21.4Event APEX 22.34Rank 19Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 76

10032Singularity

Season APEX 58.4Event APEX 33.48Rank 15Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2714, 3310, 6901

/ 100 compat

Projected

139.9 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 2714, 3310, 6901

Auto

18.5 13%

Teleop

85.8 62%

Endgame

33.9 25%

Strengths

· 2714 anchors offense

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9786, 5212, 10032

/ 100 compat

Projected

83.7 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 9786, 5212, 10032

Auto

15.2 26%

Teleop

30.0 51%

Endgame

14.1 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.76 · Blue 0.99

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score139.9pts

Blue projected score83.7pts

Red win probability67%

Event bonus sample126alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 39%, blue 29%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 56.3
Score range: 65–159
Upset likelihood: 33%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 118 vs event baseline 108.2.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

341.3Season APEX119.6

18.5Auto15.2

85.8Teleop30

33.9Endgame14.1

119Consistency64

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	34	9
teleop	44	8
endgame	22	1
foul	0	0
total	100	18

Result

Final score

100 – 18

Prediction correct · off by 52.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.