Qualification · Qualification 15
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
56.87 – 170.63
20%80%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
100 – 42
Prediction missed · off by 85.9 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 297.3 ±11.7
Season APEX 38.7Event APEX 2.49Rank 14Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 120.9Event APEX 25.88Rank 12Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 137.7Event APEX 28.5Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 224.8 ±11.7
Season APEX 67.8Event APEX 12.27Rank 16Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 22.1Event APEX 18.47Rank 23Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 134.9Event APEX 139.89Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 9137, 6672, 3310
52
/ 100 compatProjected
56.9 pts
~0.8 RP (district)
Teams: 9137, 6672, 3310
Auto
19.3 26%
Teleop
37.6 51%
Endgame
16.7 23%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 39%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 4153, 7121, 2714
79
/ 100 compatProjected
170.6 pts
~1.9 RP (district)
Teams: 4153, 7121, 2714
Auto
30.2 17%
Teleop
110.2 63%
Endgame
34.8 20%
Strengths
- · 2714 anchors offense
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 39%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.82 · Blue 1.94
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score56.9pts
Blue projected score170.6pts
Red win probability20%
Event bonus sample126alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 39%, blue 29%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -113.8
- Score range
- 38–190
- Upset likelihood
- 20%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
297.3Season APEX224.8
19.3Auto30.2
37.6Teleop110.2
16.7Endgame34.8
144Consistency36
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 18 | 10 |
| teleop | 57 | 31 |
| endgame | 25 | 1 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 100 | 42 |
Result
Final score
100 – 42
Prediction missed · off by 85.9 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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