Qualification · Qualification 14
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
124.28 – 71.08
66%34%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
19 – 102
Prediction missed · off by 68.1 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 231.8 ±12.1
Season APEX 61.8Event APEX 37.85Rank 10Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 54.3Event APEX 50.99Rank 17Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 115.7Event APEX 35.44Rank 22Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 350.4 ±11.2
Season APEX 241.9Event APEX 63.11Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 39.8Event APEX 9.56Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 68.7Event APEX -1.59Rank 21Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 4641, 7540, 7119
62
/ 100 compatProjected
124.3 pts
~1.6 RP (district)
Teams: 4641, 7540, 7119
Auto
10.4 10%
Teleop
68.8 66%
Endgame
24.5 24%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 28%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 3005, 9786, 6901
53
/ 100 compatProjected
71.1 pts
~1.1 RP (district)
Teams: 3005, 9786, 6901
Auto
12.8 22%
Teleop
27.1 48%
Endgame
17.0 30%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 28%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.64 · Blue 1.13
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score124.3pts
Blue projected score71.1pts
Red win probability66%
Event bonus sample126alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 28%, blue 41%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 53.2
- Score range
- 51–144
- Upset likelihood
- 34%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
231.8Season APEX350.4
10.4Auto12.8
68.8Teleop27.1
24.5Endgame17
67Consistency129
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 9 | 31 |
| teleop | 5 | 46 |
| endgame | 5 | 25 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 19 | 102 |
Result
Final score
19 – 102
Prediction missed · off by 68.1 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
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