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Experimental AI-assisted analytics, predictions and ratings are estimates, not official results.

Qualification · Qualification 13

APEX prediction
Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

73.6194.42

44%56%
Actual result
Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

54109

Prediction correct · off by 17.1 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 188.8 ±14.4
Season APEX 125.2Event APEX 39.2Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 42.2Event APEX 13.3Rank 20Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 21.4Event APEX 21.11Rank 19Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 76
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 261.9 ±10.4
Season APEX 137.2Event APEX 48.56Rank 4Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 58.4Event APEX 41.03Rank 15Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 66.3Event APEX 4.83Rank 18Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7503, 4076, 5212
49
/ 100 compat
Projected
73.6 pts
~1.3 RP (district)
Teams: 7503, 4076, 5212
Auto
19.9 27%
Teleop
43.5 60%
Endgame
9.6 13%
Strengths
Weaknesses
  • · Thin endgame coverage
  • · Below-average combined firepower
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 34%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 2728, 10032, 3676
65
/ 100 compat
Projected
94.4 pts
~1.5 RP (district)
Teams: 2728, 10032, 3676
Auto
22.6 25%
Teleop
45.9 50%
Endgame
22.5 25%
Strengths
  • · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
RP bonus probability
Energized: 34%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.25 · Blue 1.53
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score73.6pts
Blue projected score94.4pts
Red win probability44%
Event bonus sample126alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 34%, blue 35%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
  • District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
  • Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
  • Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin
-20.8
Score range
54114
Upset likelihood
44%
Data cutoff
2026-08-16
Model
apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 163 vs event baseline 113.

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

188.8Season APEX261.9
19.9Auto22.6
43.5Teleop45.9
9.6Endgame22.5
85Consistency138

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

PhaseRedBlue
auto2323
teleop1154
endgame1012
foul1020
total54109

Result

Final score

54109

Prediction correct · off by 17.1 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree

Match videos

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