Qualification · Qualification 13
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
73.61 – 94.42
44%56%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
54 – 109
Prediction correct · off by 17.1 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 188.8 ±14.4
Season APEX 125.2Event APEX 39.2Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 42.2Event APEX 13.3Rank 20Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 21.4Event APEX 21.11Rank 19Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 76
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 261.9 ±10.4
Season APEX 137.2Event APEX 48.56Rank 4Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 58.4Event APEX 41.03Rank 15Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 66.3Event APEX 4.83Rank 18Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 7503, 4076, 5212
49
/ 100 compatProjected
73.6 pts
~1.3 RP (district)
Teams: 7503, 4076, 5212
Auto
19.9 27%
Teleop
43.5 60%
Endgame
9.6 13%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 34%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 2728, 10032, 3676
65
/ 100 compatProjected
94.4 pts
~1.5 RP (district)
Teams: 2728, 10032, 3676
Auto
22.6 25%
Teleop
45.9 50%
Endgame
22.5 25%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 34%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.25 · Blue 1.53
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score73.6pts
Blue projected score94.4pts
Red win probability44%
Event bonus sample126alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 34%, blue 35%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -20.8
- Score range
- 54–114
- Upset likelihood
- 44%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-16
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
188.8Season APEX261.9
19.9Auto22.6
43.5Teleop45.9
9.6Endgame22.5
85Consistency138
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 23 | 23 |
| teleop | 11 | 54 |
| endgame | 10 | 12 |
| foul | 10 | 20 |
| total | 54 | 109 |
Result
Final score
54 – 109
Prediction correct · off by 17.1 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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