Qualification · Qualification 11
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
57.8 – 113
33%67%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
141 – 65
Prediction missed · off by 65.6 points
Limited current-season data (10 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 334.9 ±11.7
Season APEX 54.3Event APEX 40.12Rank 17Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 38.7Event APEX -21.37Rank 14Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 241.9Event APEX 39.05Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 386.2 ±10.5
Season APEX 68.7Event APEX 11.41Rank 21Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 115.7Event APEX 33.54Rank 22Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 201.8Event APEX 68.05Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 7540, 9137, 3005
46
/ 100 compatProjected
57.8 pts
~1.1 RP (district)
Teams: 7540, 9137, 3005
Auto
10.2 16%
Teleop
40.2 62%
Endgame
14.1 22%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 44%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 6901, 7119, 4206
69
/ 100 compatProjected
113 pts
~1.7 RP (district)
Teams: 6901, 7119, 4206
Auto
28.6 27%
Teleop
54.7 52%
Endgame
21.9 21%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 44%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.15 · Blue 1.71
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score57.8pts
Blue projected score113pts
Red win probability33%
Event bonus sample126alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 44%, blue 34%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -55.2
- Score range
- 37–134
- Upset likelihood
- 33%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
334.9Season APEX386.2
10.2Auto28.6
40.2Teleop54.7
14.1Endgame21.9
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 6 | 18 |
| teleop | 95 | 22 |
| endgame | 40 | 10 |
| foul | 0 | 15 |
| total | 141 | 65 |
Result
Final score
141 – 65
Prediction missed · off by 65.6 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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