Final · Finals 1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

260.15 – 308.2

35%65%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

365 – 215

Prediction missed · off by 99 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 330.5 ±10.4

2714♨️ BBQ ♨️

Season APEX 134.9Event APEX 100.1Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2728♨️ TACO ♨️

Season APEX 137.2Event APEX 133.78Rank 4Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10032Singularity

Season APEX 58.4Event APEX 26.27Rank 15Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 563.6 ±9.3

3005RoboChargers

Season APEX 241.9Event APEX 120.14Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4153Project Y

Season APEX 67.8Event APEX 8.57Rank 16Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

148Robowranglers

Season APEX 253.9Event APEX 179.49Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2714, 2728, 10032

/ 100 compat

Projected

260.2 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 2714, 2728, 10032

Auto

37.1 15%

Teleop

154.9 61%

Endgame

62.7 25%

Strengths

· 2728 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 38%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3005, 4153, 148

/ 100 compat

Projected

308.2 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 3005, 4153, 148

Auto

51.4 17%

Teleop

186.9 61%

Endgame

66.4 22%

Strengths

· 148 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 38%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.13 · Blue 1.79

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score260.2pts

Blue projected score308.2pts

Red win probability35%

Event bonus sample126alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 38%, blue 45%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -48.1
Score range: 235–333
Upset likelihood: 35%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 580 vs event baseline 139.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

330.5Season APEX563.6

37.1Auto51.4

154.9Teleop186.9

62.7Endgame66.4

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	56	61
teleop	182	112
endgame	117	22
foul	10	20
total	365	215

Result

Final score

365 – 215

Prediction missed · off by 99 pts

Match videos

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