Playoff · Playoff Match 9 R3

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

221.34 – 127.78

76%24%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

178 – 144

Prediction correct · off by 29.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 441.6 ±10.5

9289Vikings

Season APEX 48.5Event APEX 13.08Rank 31Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3005RoboChargers

Season APEX 241.9Event APEX 104.92Rank 14Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7506WILDCARDS

Season APEX 151.2Event APEX 103.34Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 330.8 ±11.7

4717Westerner Robotics

Season APEX 53.3Event APEX 12.82Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5431Titan Robotics

Season APEX 50.7Event APEX 32.28Rank 18Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8858Beast from the East

Season APEX 226.8Event APEX 82.68Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9289, 3005, 7506

/ 100 compat

Projected

221.3 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 9289, 3005, 7506

Auto

39.3 18%

Teleop

108.7 50%

Endgame

68.9 32%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4717, 5431, 8858

/ 100 compat

Projected

127.8 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 4717, 5431, 8858

Auto

25.8 22%

Teleop

60.8 51%

Endgame

32.6 27%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.14 · Blue 1.13

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score221.3pts

Blue projected score127.8pts

Red win probability76%

Event bonus sample154alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 55%, blue 59%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 93.6
Score range: 92–257
Upset likelihood: 24%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Playoff

Standard match.

Combined score 322 vs event baseline 199.8.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

441.6Season APEX330.8

39.3Auto25.8

108.7Teleop60.8

68.9Endgame32.6

46Consistency53

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	23	23
teleop	85	69
endgame	45	47
foul	25	5
total	178	144

Result

Final score

178 – 144

Prediction correct · off by 29.8 pts

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.