Playoff · Playoff Match 8 R2
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
347.56 – 298.56
65%35%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
349 – 383
Prediction missed · off by 42.9 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 520.7 ±13.1
Season APEX 222.2Event APEX 180.06Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 80.4Event APEX 17.77Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 77
Season APEX 218.1Event APEX 149.73Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 510 ±9.9
Season APEX 211Event APEX 174.82Rank 6Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 262.7Event APEX 120.96Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 36.3Event APEX 2.78Rank 30Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 2848, 8816, 6773
79
/ 100 compatProjected
347.6 pts
~2.0 RP (district)
Teams: 2848, 8816, 6773
Auto
49.4 14%
Teleop
214.2 63%
Endgame
78.5 23%
Strengths
- · 2848 anchors offense
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 56%
Supercharged: 10%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 2582, 1296, 9105
79
/ 100 compatProjected
298.6 pts
~1.4 RP (district)
Teams: 2582, 1296, 9105
Auto
49.3 16%
Teleop
185.3 62%
Endgame
65.0 22%
Strengths
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 56%
Supercharged: 10%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.98 · Blue 1.37
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score347.6pts
Blue projected score298.6pts
Red win probability65%
Event bonus sample154alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 56%, blue 58%
Supercharged bonusred 10%, blue 6%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 49
- Score range
- 263–384
- Upset likelihood
- 35%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
520.7Season APEX510
49.4Auto49.3
214.2Teleop185.3
78.5Endgame65
4Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 49 | 63 |
| teleop | 177 | 241 |
| endgame | 118 | 79 |
| foul | 5 | 0 |
| total | 349 | 383 |
Result
Final score
349 – 383
Prediction missed · off by 42.9 pts
Match videos
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