Playoff · Playoff Match 3 R1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

339.47 – 120.25

94%6%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

368 – 108

Prediction correct · off by 20.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 502.1 ±9.3

2848Rangers

Season APEX 222.2Event APEX 176.2Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5411RoboTalons

Season APEX 61.8Event APEX 15.07Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6773Max Throttle Mavericks

Season APEX 218.1Event APEX 148.2Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 330.8 ±11.7

4717Westerner Robotics

Season APEX 53.3Event APEX 9.29Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5431Titan Robotics

Season APEX 50.7Event APEX 29.85Rank 18Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8858Beast from the East

Season APEX 226.8Event APEX 81.11Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2848, 5411, 6773

/ 100 compat

Projected

339.5 pts

~2.5 RP (district)

Teams: 2848, 5411, 6773

Auto

45.8 14%

Teleop

204.8 61%

Endgame

86.0 26%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4717, 5431, 8858

/ 100 compat

Projected

120.3 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 4717, 5431, 8858

Auto

20.3 18%

Teleop

60.4 53%

Endgame

34.1 30%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.51 · Blue 0.78

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score339.5pts

Blue projected score120.3pts

Red win probability94%

Event bonus sample154alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 55%, blue 59%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 219.2
Score range: 85–374
Upset likelihood: 6%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 476 vs event baseline 197.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

502.1Season APEX330.8

45.8Auto20.3

204.8Teleop60.4

86Endgame34.1

23Consistency36

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	60	32
teleop	181	54
endgame	97	22
foul	30	0
total	368	108

Result

Final score

368 – 108

Prediction correct · off by 20.4 pts

Match videos

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