Playoff · Playoff Match 2 R1
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
230.25 – 192.04
62%38%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
228 – 211
Prediction correct · off by 10.6 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 441.6 ±10.5
Season APEX 151.2Event APEX 102.65Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 241.9Event APEX 109.73Rank 14Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 48.5Event APEX 17.87Rank 31Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 281.5 ±12.2
Season APEX 40.6Event APEX 16.88Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 115.7Event APEX 89.95Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 125.2Event APEX 85.21Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 7506, 3005, 9289
69
/ 100 compatProjected
230.3 pts
~1.9 RP (district)
Teams: 7506, 3005, 9289
Auto
37.9 17%
Teleop
122.6 54%
Endgame
64.6 29%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 55%
Supercharged: 5%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 9034, 7119, 7503
60
/ 100 compatProjected
192 pts
~1.5 RP (district)
Teams: 9034, 7119, 7503
Auto
31.4 17%
Teleop
104.8 56%
Endgame
50.5 27%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 55%
Supercharged: 5%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.85 · Blue 1.48
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score230.3pts
Blue projected score192pts
Red win probability62%
Event bonus sample154alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 55%, blue 61%
Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 8%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 38.2
- Score range
- 157–265
- Upset likelihood
- 38%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
441.6Season APEX281.5
37.9Auto31.4
122.6Teleop104.8
64.6Endgame50.5
43Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 43 | 33 |
| teleop | 106 | 89 |
| endgame | 74 | 59 |
| foul | 5 | 30 |
| total | 228 | 211 |
Result
Final score
228 – 211
Prediction correct · off by 10.6 pts
Match videos
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