Playoff · Playoff Match 10 R3
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
345.83 – 181.54
89%11%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
323 – 228
Prediction correct · off by 34.6 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 502.1 ±9.3
Season APEX 222.2Event APEX 179.99Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 61.8Event APEX 16.38Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 218.1Event APEX 149.46Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 281.5 ±12.2
Season APEX 40.6Event APEX 14.12Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 115.7Event APEX 84.65Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 125.2Event APEX 82.77Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 2848, 5411, 6773
80
/ 100 compatProjected
345.8 pts
~2.4 RP (district)
Teams: 2848, 5411, 6773
Auto
49.2 15%
Teleop
196.7 58%
Endgame
91.8 27%
Strengths
- · 2848 anchors offense
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 55%
Supercharged: 5%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 9034, 7119, 7503
58
/ 100 compatProjected
181.5 pts
~0.9 RP (district)
Teams: 9034, 7119, 7503
Auto
30.5 18%
Teleop
97.1 56%
Endgame
46.1 27%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 55%
Supercharged: 5%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.4 · Blue 0.94
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score345.8pts
Blue projected score181.5pts
Red win probability89%
Event bonus sample154alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 55%, blue 61%
Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 8%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 164.3
- Score range
- 146–382
- Upset likelihood
- 11%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
502.1Season APEX281.5
49.2Auto30.5
196.7Teleop97.1
91.8Endgame46.1
9Consistency7
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 68 | 38 |
| teleop | 176 | 116 |
| endgame | 64 | 74 |
| foul | 15 | 0 |
| total | 323 | 228 |
Result
Final score
323 – 228
Prediction correct · off by 34.6 pts
Match videos
Watch right here, no need to leave the page.