Qualification · Qualification 7
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
94.52 – 124.17
41%59%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
200 – 157
Prediction missed · off by 69.2 points
Limited current-season data (6 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 408.2 ±10.5
Season APEX 299.7Event APEX 54.29Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 50.7Event APEX 9.37Rank 18Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 57.8Event APEX 30.86Rank 21Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 287.9 ±11.7
Season APEX 211Event APEX 60.51Rank 6Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 36.3Event APEX 54.29Rank 30Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 40.6Event APEX 9.37Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 10340, 5431, 9492
52
/ 100 compatProjected
94.5 pts
~1.5 RP (district)
Teams: 10340, 5431, 9492
Auto
21.6 23%
Teleop
56.0 59%
Endgame
17.0 18%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 57%
Supercharged: 7%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 2582, 9105, 9034
58
/ 100 compatProjected
124.2 pts
~1.8 RP (district)
Teams: 2582, 9105, 9034
Auto
21.6 17%
Teleop
80.2 64%
Endgame
22.9 18%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 57%
Supercharged: 7%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.47 · Blue 1.79
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score94.5pts
Blue projected score124.2pts
Red win probability41%
Event bonus sample154alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 57%, blue 53%
Supercharged bonusred 7%, blue 6%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -29.7
- Score range
- 67–152
- Upset likelihood
- 41%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
408.2Season APEX287.9
21.6Auto21.6
56Teleop80.2
17Endgame22.9
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 9 | 33 |
| teleop | 96 | 81 |
| endgame | 75 | 43 |
| foul | 20 | 0 |
| total | 200 | 157 |
Result
Final score
200 – 157
Prediction missed · off by 69.2 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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