Qualification · Qualification 62

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

217.39 – 34.1

91%9%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

92 – 29

Prediction correct · off by 65.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 319 ±10.5

6773Max Throttle Mavericks

Season APEX 218.1Event APEX 159.22Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9289Vikings

Season APEX 48.5Event APEX 26.77Rank 31Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6526Cyber Rangers

Season APEX 52.4Event APEX 31.4Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 169.6 ±14.4

9492LadyTalons

Season APEX 57.8Event APEX 12.25Rank 21Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8408Kiss Kats

Season APEX 75.5Event APEX 30.01Rank 24Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 76

9105TechnoTalons

Season APEX 36.3Event APEX -8.16Rank 30Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6773, 9289, 6526

/ 100 compat

Projected

217.4 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 6773, 9289, 6526

Auto

31.9 14%

Teleop

136.6 62%

Endgame

53.2 24%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9492, 8408, 9105

/ 100 compat

Projected

34.1 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 9492, 8408, 9105

Auto

11.5 37%

Teleop

10.8 35%

Endgame

8.4 27%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.32 · Blue 0.73

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score217.4pts

Blue projected score34.1pts

Red win probability91%

Event bonus sample154alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 46%, blue 49%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 183.3
Score range: -1–252
Upset likelihood: 9%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 121 vs event baseline 196.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

319Season APEX169.6

31.9Auto11.5

136.6Teleop10.8

53.2Endgame8.4

59Consistency34

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	22	15
teleop	40	1
endgame	30	3
foul	0	10
total	92	29

Result

Final score

92 – 29

Prediction correct · off by 65.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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