Qualification · Qualification 61

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

141.04 – 42.69

77%23%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

237 – 109

Prediction correct · off by 81.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 484.3 ±9.8

5411RoboTalons

Season APEX 61.8Event APEX 8.35Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7506WILDCARDS

Season APEX 151.2Event APEX 92.41Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8749Farmersville Robotics

Season APEX 271.3Event APEX 40.28Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 135.5 ±13.3

4717Westerner Robotics

Season APEX 53.3Event APEX 4.32Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7125Tigerbotics

Season APEX 31.5Event APEX 13.41Rank 29Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5431Titan Robotics

Season APEX 50.7Event APEX 24.96Rank 18Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5411, 7506, 8749

/ 100 compat

Projected

141 pts

~2.2 RP (district)

Teams: 5411, 7506, 8749

Auto

27.0 19%

Teleop

78.3 55%

Endgame

37.7 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 61%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4717, 7125, 5431

/ 100 compat

Projected

42.7 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 4717, 7125, 5431

Auto

13.4 36%

Teleop

15.6 41%

Endgame

8.7 23%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 61%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.21 · Blue 1.03

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score141pts

Blue projected score42.7pts

Red win probability77%

Event bonus sample154alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 61%, blue 51%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 98.4
Score range: 8–176
Upset likelihood: 23%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 346 vs event baseline 197.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

484.3Season APEX135.5

27Auto13.4

78.3Teleop15.6

37.7Endgame8.7

43Consistency1

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	32	32
teleop	118	56
endgame	67	21
foul	20	0
total	237	109

Result

Final score

237 – 109

Prediction correct · off by 81.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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