Qualification · Qualification 60

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

401.87 – 191.16

93%7%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

526 – 65

Prediction correct · off by 125.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 647.4 ±13.1

2848Rangers

Season APEX 222.2Event APEX 165.4Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9128ITKAN Robotics

Season APEX 344.8Event APEX 224.43Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8816Coyotronics

Season APEX 80.4Event APEX 12.04Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 77

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 256.8 ±12.7

7119Sunset RoboBison

Season APEX 115.7Event APEX 100.44Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1745The P-51 Mustangs

Season APEX 104Event APEX 70.7Rank 22Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7091KnightOwls

Season APEX 37.1Event APEX 20.02Rank 28Record 3-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2848, 9128, 8816

/ 100 compat

Projected

401.9 pts

~2.6 RP (district)

Teams: 2848, 9128, 8816

Auto

91.0 23%

Teleop

234.6 59%

Endgame

68.7 17%

Strengths

· 9128 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 17%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7119, 1745, 7091

/ 100 compat

Projected

191.2 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 7119, 1745, 7091

Auto

26.0 14%

Teleop

114.0 62%

Endgame

44.6 24%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 17%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.65 · Blue 0.83

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score401.9pts

Blue projected score191.2pts

Red win probability93%

Event bonus sample154alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 59%, blue 62%

Supercharged bonusred 17%, blue 6%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 210.7
Score range: 156–437
Upset likelihood: 7%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 591 vs event baseline 195.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

647.4Season APEX256.8

91Auto26

234.6Teleop114

68.7Endgame44.6

0Consistency8

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	108	23
teleop	315	15
endgame	103	12
foul	0	15
total	526	65

Result

Final score

526 – 65

Prediction correct · off by 125.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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