Qualification · Qualification 59

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

135.12 – 400.2

4%96%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

151 – 476

Prediction correct · off by 45.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 245.1 ±12.2

3282Dallas Robo Tigers

Season APEX 57.4Event APEX 27.37Rank 26Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7503Radicubs

Season APEX 125.2Event APEX 84.09Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5790Proto-Titans

Season APEX 62.5Event APEX 23.66Rank 11Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 563.3 ±9.9

2582PantherBots

Season APEX 211Event APEX 159.57Rank 6Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10340ITKAN Girls

A+

Season APEX 299.7Event APEX 225.09Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5682Equus Engineering

Season APEX 52.6Event APEX 15.54Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3282, 7503, 5790

/ 100 compat

Projected

135.1 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 3282, 7503, 5790

Auto

31.5 24%

Teleop

58.7 45%

Endgame

40.4 31%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2582, 10340, 5682

/ 100 compat

Projected

400.2 pts

~2.8 RP (district)

Teams: 2582, 10340, 5682

Auto

48.3 12%

Teleop

264.7 66%

Endgame

86.9 22%

Strengths

· 10340 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.73 · Blue 2.75

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score135.1pts

Blue projected score400.2pts

Red win probability4%

Event bonus sample154alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 60%, blue 66%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 14%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -265.1
Score range: 100–435
Upset likelihood: 4%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 627 vs event baseline 193.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

245.1Season APEX563.3

31.5Auto48.3

58.7Teleop264.7

40.4Endgame86.9

0Consistency41

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	25	100
teleop	64	277
endgame	57	99
foul	5	0
total	151	476

Result

Final score

151 – 476

Prediction correct · off by 45.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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