Qualification · Qualification 56

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

281.24 – 55.67

94%6%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

334 – 86

Prediction correct · off by 41.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 628.4 ±10.7

8749Farmersville Robotics

Season APEX 271.3Event APEX 35.81Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3282Dallas Robo Tigers

Season APEX 57.4Event APEX 23.31Rank 26Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10340ITKAN Girls

A+

Season APEX 299.7Event APEX 222.12Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 141.7 ±11.7

7125Tigerbotics

Season APEX 31.5Event APEX 13.35Rank 29Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9492LadyTalons

Season APEX 57.8Event APEX 13.54Rank 21Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6526Cyber Rangers

Season APEX 52.4Event APEX 28.78Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8749, 3282, 10340

/ 100 compat

Projected

281.2 pts

~2.6 RP (district)

Teams: 8749, 3282, 10340

Auto

46.4 17%

Teleop

187.5 67%

Endgame

47.1 17%

Strengths

· 10340 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 67%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7125, 9492, 6526

/ 100 compat

Projected

55.7 pts

~0.6 RP (district)

Teams: 7125, 9492, 6526

Auto

17.0 35%

Teleop

29.7 62%

Endgame

1.3 3%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 67%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.62 · Blue 0.62

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score281.2pts

Blue projected score55.7pts

Red win probability94%

Event bonus sample154alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 67%, blue 47%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 225.6
Score range: 22–315
Upset likelihood: 6%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 420 vs event baseline 190.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

628.4Season APEX141.7

46.4Auto17

187.5Teleop29.7

47.1Endgame1.3

33Consistency23

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	65	24
teleop	188	28
endgame	81	34
foul	0	0
total	334	86

Result

Final score

334 – 86

Prediction correct · off by 41.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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