Qualification · Qualification 55
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
46.07 – 118.14
29%71%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
37 – 138
Prediction correct · off by 14.5 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 159.9 ±11.6
Season APEX 36.3Event APEX -6.06Rank 30Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 61.8Event APEX 39.96Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 61.8Event APEX 12.17Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 214.9 ±12.2
Season APEX 125.2Event APEX 83Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 52.6Event APEX 15.34Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 37.1Event APEX 19.8Rank 28Record 3-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 9105, 4641, 5411
12
/ 100 compatProjected
46.1 pts
~1.1 RP (district)
Teams: 9105, 4641, 5411
Auto
17.0 35%
Teleop
0.2 0%
Endgame
31.0 64%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 47%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 7503, 5682, 7091
46
/ 100 compatProjected
118.1 pts
~2.1 RP (district)
Teams: 7503, 5682, 7091
Auto
17.9 16%
Teleop
67.2 59%
Endgame
28.9 25%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 47%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.09 · Blue 2.13
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score46.1pts
Blue projected score118.1pts
Red win probability29%
Event bonus sample154alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 47%, blue 64%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 5%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -72.1
- Score range
- 11–153
- Upset likelihood
- 29%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
159.9Season APEX214.9
17Auto17.9
0.2Teleop67.2
31Endgame28.9
36Consistency38
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 15 | 24 |
| teleop | 13 | 63 |
| endgame | 9 | 51 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 37 | 138 |
Result
Final score
37 – 138
Prediction correct · off by 14.5 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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