Qualification · Qualification 54

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

177.81 – 278.7

22%78%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

87 – 99

Prediction correct · off by 135.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 331 ±11.7

9034The Space Dolphins

Season APEX 40.6Event APEX 27.19Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3005RoboChargers

Season APEX 241.9Event APEX 117.4Rank 14Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9289Vikings

Season APEX 48.5Event APEX 33.22Rank 31Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 476.4 ±10.5

5790Proto-Titans

Season APEX 62.5Event APEX 40.8Rank 11Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1296Full Metal Jackets

Season APEX 262.7Event APEX 128.13Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7506WILDCARDS

Season APEX 151.2Event APEX 109.77Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9034, 3005, 9289

/ 100 compat

Projected

177.8 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 9034, 3005, 9289

Auto

28.1 16%

Teleop

88.2 50%

Endgame

61.1 34%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5790, 1296, 7506

/ 100 compat

Projected

278.7 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 5790, 1296, 7506

Auto

54.2 20%

Teleop

176.3 64%

Endgame

43.8 16%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.01 · Blue 2.26

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score177.8pts

Blue projected score278.7pts

Red win probability22%

Event bonus sample154alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 49%, blue 61%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 7%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -100.9
Score range: 143–314
Upset likelihood: 22%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Close match

Combined score 186 vs event baseline 194.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

331Season APEX476.4

28.1Auto54.2

88.2Teleop176.3

61.1Endgame43.8

30Consistency5

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	48	48
teleop	30	41
endgame	4	5
foul	5	5
total	87	99

Result

Final score

87 – 99

Prediction correct · off by 135.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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