Qualification · Qualification 52
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
201.93 – 27.4
90%10%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
285 – 20
Prediction correct · off by 45.2 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 358.4 ±11.1
Season APEX 104Event APEX 64.28Rank 22Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 36.3Event APEX -13.72Rank 30Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 218.1Event APEX 151.37Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 90.7 ±13.9
Season APEX 37.1Event APEX 19.32Rank 28Record 3-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 31.5Event APEX 10.27Rank 29Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 22.1Event APEX -2.19Rank 27Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 1745, 9105, 6773
62
/ 100 compatProjected
201.9 pts
~2.4 RP (district)
Teams: 1745, 9105, 6773
Auto
33.0 16%
Teleop
112.9 56%
Endgame
56.6 28%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 52%
Supercharged: 4%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 7091, 7125, 7121
6
/ 100 compatProjected
27.4 pts
~0.8 RP (district)
Teams: 7091, 7125, 7121
Auto
18.6 100%
Teleop
4.8 26%
Endgame
-5.2 0%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 52%
Supercharged: 4%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.38 · Blue 0.78
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score201.9pts
Blue projected score27.4pts
Red win probability90%
Event bonus sample154alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 52%, blue 54%
Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 174.5
- Score range
- -8–237
- Upset likelihood
- 10%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
358.4Season APEX90.7
33Auto18.6
112.9Teleop4.8
56.6Endgame-5.2
37Consistency12
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 23 | 11 |
| teleop | 199 | 9 |
| endgame | 63 | 0 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 285 | 20 |
Result
Final score
285 – 20
Prediction correct · off by 45.2 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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