Qualification · Qualification 51

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

83.18 – 265.91

9%91%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

166 – 225

Prediction correct · off by 61.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 382.3 ±11.1

9289Vikings

Season APEX 48.5Event APEX 24.42Rank 31Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8749Farmersville Robotics

Season APEX 271.3Event APEX 26.26Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5790Proto-Titans

Season APEX 62.5Event APEX 32.5Rank 11Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 457.3 ±10.5

5431Titan Robotics

Season APEX 50.7Event APEX 26.31Rank 18Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9128ITKAN Robotics

Season APEX 344.8Event APEX 223.25Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5411RoboTalons

Season APEX 61.8Event APEX 16.35Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9289, 8749, 5790

/ 100 compat

Projected

83.2 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 9289, 8749, 5790

Auto

28.4 34%

Teleop

37.9 45%

Endgame

17.7 21%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5431, 9128, 5411

/ 100 compat

Projected

265.9 pts

~2.5 RP (district)

Teams: 5431, 9128, 5411

Auto

65.9 26%

Teleop

136.9 53%

Endgame

55.0 21%

Strengths

· 9128 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.76 · Blue 2.46

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score83.2pts

Blue projected score265.9pts

Red win probability9%

Event bonus sample154alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 52%, blue 56%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 7%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -182.7
Score range: 48–301
Upset likelihood: 9%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 391 vs event baseline 195.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

382.3Season APEX457.3

28.4Auto65.9

37.9Teleop136.9

17.7Endgame55

61Consistency54

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	21	70
teleop	95	114
endgame	45	41
foul	5	0
total	166	225

Result

Final score

166 – 225

Prediction correct · off by 61.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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