Qualification · Qualification 5

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

283.8 – 58.99

94%6%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

285 – 59

Prediction correct · off by 0.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 413.4 ±14

7119Sunset RoboBison

Season APEX 115.7Event APEX 85.33Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2848Rangers

Season APEX 222.2Event APEX 172.31Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8408Kiss Kats

Season APEX 75.5Event APEX 26.16Rank 24Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 76

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 137.4 ±13.3

3282Dallas Robo Tigers

Season APEX 57.4Event APEX 25.83Rank 26Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9289Vikings

Season APEX 48.5Event APEX 11.31Rank 31Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7125Tigerbotics

Season APEX 31.5Event APEX 21.85Rank 29Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7119, 2848, 8408

/ 100 compat

Projected

283.8 pts

~2.6 RP (district)

Teams: 7119, 2848, 8408

Auto

41.9 15%

Teleop

169.3 61%

Endgame

66.2 24%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 11%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3282, 9289, 7125

/ 100 compat

Projected

59 pts

~0.6 RP (district)

Teams: 3282, 9289, 7125

Auto

24.5 42%

Teleop

19.2 33%

Endgame

14.4 25%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 11%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.63 · Blue 0.62

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score283.8pts

Blue projected score59pts

Red win probability94%

Event bonus sample154alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 62%, blue 46%

Supercharged bonusred 11%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 224.8
Score range: 21–322
Upset likelihood: 6%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 344 vs event baseline 211.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

413.4Season APEX137.4

41.9Auto24.5

169.3Teleop19.2

66.2Endgame14.4

11Consistency41

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	54	15
teleop	181	19
endgame	50	25
foul	0	0
total	285	59

Result

Final score

285 – 59

Prediction correct · off by 0.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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