Qualification · Qualification 49

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

286.55 – 245.84

62%38%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

279 – 228

Prediction correct · off by 12.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 379.1 ±10.5

2582PantherBots

Season APEX 211Event APEX 160.46Rank 6Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7119Sunset RoboBison

Season APEX 115.7Event APEX 99.71Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6526Cyber Rangers

Season APEX 52.4Event APEX 26.38Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 463.4 ±13.5

7503Radicubs

Season APEX 125.2Event APEX 83.74Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1296Full Metal Jackets

Season APEX 262.7Event APEX 129.04Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8408Kiss Kats

Season APEX 75.5Event APEX 33.06Rank 24Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 76

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2582, 7119, 6526

/ 100 compat

Projected

286.6 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 2582, 7119, 6526

Auto

37.8 13%

Teleop

176.1 62%

Endgame

70.7 25%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7503, 1296, 8408

/ 100 compat

Projected

245.8 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 7503, 1296, 8408

Auto

43.1 18%

Teleop

161.1 66%

Endgame

39.8 16%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.94 · Blue 1.49

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score286.6pts

Blue projected score245.8pts

Red win probability62%

Event bonus sample154alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 60%, blue 65%

Supercharged bonusred 7%, blue 7%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 40.7
Score range: 211–322
Upset likelihood: 38%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

High scoring

Combined score 507 vs event baseline 191.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

379.1Season APEX463.4

37.8Auto43.1

176.1Teleop161.1

70.7Endgame39.8

20Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	21	42
teleop	167	136
endgame	91	50
foul	0	0
total	279	228

Result

Final score

279 – 228

Prediction correct · off by 12.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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