Qualification · Qualification 48

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

83.09 – 44.61

62%38%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

118 – 45

Prediction correct · off by 17.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 329.3 ±14.5

7121Keller Fusion Robotics

Season APEX 22.1Event APEX -3.46Rank 27Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8858Beast from the East

Season APEX 226.8Event APEX 75.19Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8816Coyotronics

Season APEX 80.4Event APEX 11.36Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 77

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 167.8 ±12.2

5682Equus Engineering

Season APEX 52.6Event APEX 12.93Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3282Dallas Robo Tigers

Season APEX 57.4Event APEX 22.18Rank 26Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9492LadyTalons

Season APEX 57.8Event APEX 9.5Rank 21Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7121, 8858, 8816

/ 100 compat

Projected

83.1 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 7121, 8858, 8816

Auto

20.6 25%

Teleop

35.2 43%

Endgame

25.9 32%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5682, 3282, 9492

/ 100 compat

Projected

44.6 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 5682, 3282, 9492

Auto

12.1 31%

Teleop

12.2 31%

Endgame

14.8 38%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.86 · Blue 1.36

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score83.1pts

Blue projected score44.6pts

Red win probability62%

Event bonus sample154alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 56%, blue 55%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 38.5
Score range: 10–118
Upset likelihood: 38%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 163 vs event baseline 194.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

329.3Season APEX167.8

20.6Auto12.1

35.2Teleop12.2

25.9Endgame14.8

36Consistency73

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	15	14
teleop	53	11
endgame	30	15
foul	20	5
total	118	45

Result

Final score

118 – 45

Prediction correct · off by 17.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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