Qualification · Qualification 46

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

268.68 – 120.81

86%14%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

298 – 120

Prediction correct · off by 15.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 399.8 ±9.8

2848Rangers

Season APEX 222.2Event APEX 163.75Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6526Cyber Rangers

Season APEX 52.4Event APEX 23.52Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7503Radicubs

Season APEX 125.2Event APEX 81.41Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 190.5 ±12.7

1745The P-51 Mustangs

Season APEX 104Event APEX 67.51Rank 22Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9289Vikings

Season APEX 48.5Event APEX 25.35Rank 31Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6171⚛ Chain Reaction ⚛

Season APEX 38Event APEX 27.95Rank 25Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2848, 6526, 7503

/ 100 compat

Projected

268.7 pts

~2.4 RP (district)

Teams: 2848, 6526, 7503

Auto

46.8 17%

Teleop

162.4 61%

Endgame

58.3 22%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1745, 9289, 6171

/ 100 compat

Projected

120.8 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 1745, 9289, 6171

Auto

25.1 21%

Teleop

54.4 45%

Endgame

41.1 34%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.39 · Blue 0.87

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score268.7pts

Blue projected score120.8pts

Red win probability86%

Event bonus sample154alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 59%, blue 55%

Supercharged bonusred 6%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 147.9
Score range: 86–304
Upset likelihood: 14%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 418 vs event baseline 193.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

399.8Season APEX190.5

46.8Auto25.1

162.4Teleop54.4

58.3Endgame41.1

32Consistency33

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	46	34
teleop	177	41
endgame	70	40
foul	5	5
total	298	120

Result

Final score

298 – 120

Prediction correct · off by 15.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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