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Experimental AI-assisted analytics, predictions and ratings are estimates, not official results.
FRCinsights
FIT District Farmersville Event

Qualification · Qualification 45

APEX prediction
Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

227.52 – 188.37

62%38%
Actual result
Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

162 – 183

Prediction missed · off by 35.4 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 500.2 ±10.7
3005RoboChargers
A
Season APEX 241.9Event APEX 125.16Rank 14Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
8858Beast from the East
B
Season APEX 226.8Event APEX 82.15Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
7125Tigerbotics
D
Season APEX 31.5Event APEX 20.21Rank 29Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 330.6 ±9.8
9492LadyTalons
D
Season APEX 57.8Event APEX 11.24Rank 21Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
5411RoboTalons
D
Season APEX 61.8Event APEX 16.85Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
2582PantherBots
B
Season APEX 211Event APEX 160.28Rank 6Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3005, 8858, 7125
67
/ 100 compat
Projected
227.5 pts
~1.9 RP (district)
Teams: 3005, 8858, 7125
Auto
32.2 14%
Teleop
112.5 51%
Endgame
77.6 35%
Strengths
  • · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
  • · Thin autonomous coverage
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 60%
Supercharged: 4%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 9492, 5411, 2582
60
/ 100 compat
Projected
188.4 pts
~1.4 RP (district)
Teams: 9492, 5411, 2582
Auto
28.2 16%
Teleop
88.0 50%
Endgame
60.4 34%
Strengths
  • · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 60%
Supercharged: 4%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.89 · Blue 1.37
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score227.5pts
Blue projected score188.4pts
Red win probability62%
Event bonus sample154alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 60%, blue 55%
Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 4%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
  • District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
  • Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
  • Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin
39.2
Score range
153–263
Upset likelihood
38%
Data cutoff
2026-08-16
Model
apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 345 vs event baseline 193.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

500.2Season APEX330.6
32.2Auto28.2
112.5Teleop88
77.6Endgame60.4
33Consistency40

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

PhaseRedBlue
auto3123
teleop93108
endgame3352
foul50
total162183

Result

Final score

162 – 183

Prediction missed · off by 35.4 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree

Match videos

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