Qualification · Qualification 44

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

157.48 – 158.87

50%50%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

187 – 184

Prediction missed · off by 27.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 366 ±11.1

1296Full Metal Jackets

Season APEX 262.7Event APEX 125.72Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5682Equus Engineering

Season APEX 52.6Event APEX 8.82Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5431Titan Robotics

Season APEX 50.7Event APEX 22.94Rank 18Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 297.6 ±12.4

6773Max Throttle Mavericks

Season APEX 218.1Event APEX 146.61Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3282Dallas Robo Tigers

Season APEX 57.4Event APEX 18.8Rank 26Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7121Keller Fusion Robotics

Season APEX 22.1Event APEX -6.54Rank 27Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1296, 5682, 5431

/ 100 compat

Projected

157.5 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 1296, 5682, 5431

Auto

27.7 18%

Teleop

102.0 67%

Endgame

21.7 14%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6773, 3282, 7121

/ 100 compat

Projected

158.9 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 6773, 3282, 7121

Auto

22.1 14%

Teleop

90.6 57%

Endgame

45.5 29%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.67 · Blue 1.62

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score157.5pts

Blue projected score158.9pts

Red win probability50%

Event bonus sample154alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 59%, blue 56%

Supercharged bonusred 7%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -1.4
Score range: 122–194
Upset likelihood: 50%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Close match

Combined score 371 vs event baseline 193.9.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

366Season APEX297.6

27.7Auto22.1

102Teleop90.6

21.7Endgame45.5

74Consistency16

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	46	39
teleop	110	95
endgame	31	50
foul	0	0
total	187	184

Result

Final score

187 – 184

Prediction missed · off by 27.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.