Qualification · Qualification 43
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
247.89 – 157.82
75%25%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
316 – 146
Prediction correct · off by 40 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 442.6 ±14
Season APEX 62.5Event APEX 24.16Rank 11Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 80.4Event APEX 0.43Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 77
Season APEX 299.7Event APEX 223.3Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 424.1 ±11.7
Season APEX 37.1Event APEX 28.79Rank 28Record 3-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 115.7Event APEX 98.91Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 271.3Event APEX 30.12Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 5790, 8816, 10340
66
/ 100 compatProjected
247.9 pts
~2.2 RP (district)
Teams: 5790, 8816, 10340
Auto
43.0 18%
Teleop
169.9 69%
Endgame
31.9 13%
Strengths
- · 10340 anchors offense
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 56%
Supercharged: 13%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 7091, 7119, 8749
55
/ 100 compatProjected
157.8 pts
~1.2 RP (district)
Teams: 7091, 7119, 8749
Auto
34.1 22%
Teleop
91.3 59%
Endgame
29.4 19%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 56%
Supercharged: 13%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.22 · Blue 1.23
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score247.9pts
Blue projected score157.8pts
Red win probability75%
Event bonus sample154alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 56%, blue 68%
Supercharged bonusred 13%, blue 4%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 90.1
- Score range
- 123–283
- Upset likelihood
- 25%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
442.6Season APEX424.1
43Auto34.1
169.9Teleop91.3
31.9Endgame29.4
0Consistency48
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 61 | 20 |
| teleop | 210 | 72 |
| endgame | 40 | 49 |
| foul | 5 | 5 |
| total | 316 | 146 |
Result
Final score
316 – 146
Prediction correct · off by 40 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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