Qualification · Qualification 41

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

383.75 – 55.44

98%2%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

558 – 78

Prediction correct · off by 98.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 695.9 ±8.7

1296Full Metal Jackets

Season APEX 262.7Event APEX 103.6Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2848Rangers

Season APEX 222.2Event APEX 141.41Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2582PantherBots

Season APEX 211Event APEX 138.74Rank 6Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 133.9 ±12.8

5411RoboTalons

Season APEX 61.8Event APEX 17.74Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7125Tigerbotics

Season APEX 31.5Event APEX 15.02Rank 29Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9034The Space Dolphins

Season APEX 40.6Event APEX 22.68Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1296, 2848, 2582

/ 100 compat

Projected

383.8 pts

~2.8 RP (district)

Teams: 1296, 2848, 2582

Auto

70.0 19%

Teleop

229.3 61%

Endgame

79.0 21%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 67%

Supercharged: 11%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5411, 7125, 9034

/ 100 compat

Projected

55.4 pts

~0.6 RP (district)

Teams: 5411, 7125, 9034

Auto

23.9 42%

Teleop

22.8 40%

Endgame

9.9 17%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 67%

Supercharged: 11%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.76 · Blue 0.56

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score383.8pts

Blue projected score55.4pts

Red win probability98%

Event bonus sample154alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 67%, blue 47%

Supercharged bonusred 11%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 328.3
Score range: 20–419
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 636 vs event baseline 193.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

695.9Season APEX133.9

70Auto23.9

229.3Teleop22.8

79Endgame9.9

94Consistency62

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	80	14
teleop	365	22
endgame	113	27
foul	0	15
total	558	78

Result

Final score

558 – 78

Prediction correct · off by 98.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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