Qualification · Qualification 40

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

22.7 – 137.44

19%81%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

43 – 129

Prediction correct · off by 14.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 146.1 ±12.2

6526Cyber Rangers

Season APEX 52.4Event APEX 14.28Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9105TechnoTalons

Season APEX 36.3Event APEX -14.02Rank 30Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3282Dallas Robo Tigers

Season APEX 57.4Event APEX 22.44Rank 26Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 340 ±11.1

8858Beast from the East

Season APEX 226.8Event APEX 84.99Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5790Proto-Titans

Season APEX 62.5Event APEX 28.63Rank 11Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5431Titan Robotics

Season APEX 50.7Event APEX 23.82Rank 18Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6526, 9105, 3282

/ 100 compat

Projected

22.7 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 6526, 9105, 3282

Auto

17.5 69%

Teleop

8.9 35%

Endgame

-1.0 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8858, 5790, 5431

/ 100 compat

Projected

137.4 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 8858, 5790, 5431

Auto

17.8 13%

Teleop

54.7 41%

Endgame

60.2 45%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.91 · Blue 2.26

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score22.7pts

Blue projected score137.4pts

Red win probability19%

Event bonus sample154alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 48%, blue 58%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -114.7
Score range: -12–172
Upset likelihood: 19%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 172 vs event baseline 195.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

146.1Season APEX340

17.5Auto17.8

8.9Teleop54.7

-1Endgame60.2

61Consistency68

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	12	23
teleop	15	79
endgame	16	12
foul	0	15
total	43	129

Result

Final score

43 – 129

Prediction correct · off by 14.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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