Qualification · Qualification 4

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

135.65 – 370.74

5%95%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

108 – 333

Prediction correct · off by 32.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 221 ±11.7

6171⚛ Chain Reaction ⚛

Season APEX 38Event APEX 28.44Rank 25Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7503Radicubs

Season APEX 125.2Event APEX 86.07Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9492LadyTalons

Season APEX 57.8Event APEX 21.14Rank 21Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 722.7 ±8.7

6773Max Throttle Mavericks

Season APEX 218.1Event APEX 143.08Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3005RoboChargers

Season APEX 241.9Event APEX 101.63Rank 14Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1296Full Metal Jackets

Season APEX 262.7Event APEX 126.03Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6171, 7503, 9492

/ 100 compat

Projected

135.6 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 6171, 7503, 9492

Auto

27.8 22%

Teleop

50.4 40%

Endgame

47.8 38%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 64%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6773, 3005, 1296

/ 100 compat

Projected

370.7 pts

~2.6 RP (district)

Teams: 6773, 3005, 1296

Auto

56.7 16%

Teleop

217.4 60%

Endgame

91.2 25%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 64%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.8 · Blue 2.63

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score135.6pts

Blue projected score370.7pts

Red win probability5%

Event bonus sample154alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 64%, blue 64%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 7%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -235.1
Score range: 98–409
Upset likelihood: 5%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 441 vs event baseline 211.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

221Season APEX722.7

27.8Auto56.7

50.4Teleop217.4

47.8Endgame91.2

36Consistency22

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	23	30
teleop	58	205
endgame	27	98
foul	0	0
total	108	333

Result

Final score

108 – 333

Prediction correct · off by 32.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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