Qualification · Qualification 37

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

90.15 – 380.97

3%97%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

57 – 451

Prediction correct · off by 51.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 122.1 ±13.3

7125Tigerbotics

Season APEX 31.5Event APEX 25.42Rank 29Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5682Equus Engineering

Season APEX 52.6Event APEX 9.45Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6171⚛ Chain Reaction ⚛

Season APEX 38Event APEX 55.28Rank 25Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 638.4 ±13.1

8408Kiss Kats

Season APEX 75.5Event APEX 39.36Rank 24Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 76

6773Max Throttle Mavericks

Season APEX 218.1Event APEX 134.14Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9128ITKAN Robotics

Season APEX 344.8Event APEX 207.47Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7125, 5682, 6171

/ 100 compat

Projected

90.2 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 7125, 5682, 6171

Auto

14.8 16%

Teleop

55.5 60%

Endgame

21.8 24%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8408, 6773, 9128

/ 100 compat

Projected

381 pts

~2.7 RP (district)

Teams: 8408, 6773, 9128

Auto

83.3 22%

Teleop

221.3 59%

Endgame

71.0 19%

Strengths

· 9128 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.69 · Blue 2.69

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score90.2pts

Blue projected score381pts

Red win probability3%

Event bonus sample154alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 59%, blue 61%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 10%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -290.8
Score range: 55–416
Upset likelihood: 3%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-17
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 508 vs event baseline 194.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

122.1Season APEX638.4

14.8Auto83.3

55.5Teleop221.3

21.8Endgame71

51Consistency41

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	25	60
teleop	12	313
endgame	5	78
foul	15	0
total	57	451

Result

Final score

57 – 451

Prediction correct · off by 51.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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