Qualification · Qualification 36

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

153.02 – 109.99

63%37%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

248 – 235

Prediction correct · off by 110 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 413.8 ±10.5

8858Beast from the East

Season APEX 226.8Event APEX 74.48Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4641TALON Inc.

Season APEX 61.8Event APEX 25.96Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7503Radicubs

Season APEX 125.2Event APEX 52.58Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 361.9 ±11.1

5431Titan Robotics

Season APEX 50.7Event APEX 11.41Rank 18Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9289Vikings

Season APEX 48.5Event APEX 14.08Rank 31Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1296Full Metal Jackets

Season APEX 262.7Event APEX 84.5Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8858, 4641, 7503

/ 100 compat

Projected

153 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 8858, 4641, 7503

Auto

28.4 19%

Teleop

69.0 46%

Endgame

52.8 35%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 63%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5431, 9289, 1296

/ 100 compat

Projected

110 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 5431, 9289, 1296

Auto

20.7 20%

Teleop

58.0 55%

Endgame

26.5 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 63%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.95 · Blue 1.31

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score153pts

Blue projected score110pts

Red win probability63%

Event bonus sample154alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 63%, blue 51%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 43
Score range: 75–188
Upset likelihood: 37%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Close match

High scoring

Combined score 483 vs event baseline 192.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

413.8Season APEX361.9

28.4Auto20.7

69Teleop58

52.8Endgame26.5

43Consistency84

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	18	59
teleop	127	133
endgame	98	38
foul	5	5
total	248	235

Result

Final score

248 – 235

Prediction correct · off by 110 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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