Qualification · Qualification 35

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

143.27 – 184.42

37%63%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

226 – 253

Prediction correct · off by 75.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 295.6 ±11.7

9105TechnoTalons

Season APEX 36.3Event APEX -24.03Rank 30Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7091KnightOwls

Season APEX 37.1Event APEX 31.97Rank 28Record 3-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2848Rangers

Season APEX 222.2Event APEX 135.33Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 491 ±11.1

7119Sunset RoboBison

Season APEX 115.7Event APEX 86.65Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8749Farmersville Robotics

Season APEX 271.3Event APEX 32.89Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1745The P-51 Mustangs

Season APEX 104Event APEX 64.88Rank 22Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9105, 7091, 2848

/ 100 compat

Projected

143.3 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 9105, 7091, 2848

Auto

41.6 29%

Teleop

92.0 64%

Endgame

9.9 7%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7119, 8749, 1745

/ 100 compat

Projected

184.4 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 7119, 8749, 1745

Auto

46.3 25%

Teleop

100.1 55%

Endgame

35.4 19%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.36 · Blue 1.98

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score143.3pts

Blue projected score184.4pts

Red win probability37%

Event bonus sample154alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 55%, blue 65%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 6%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -41.1
Score range: 109–218
Upset likelihood: 37%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 479 vs event baseline 191.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

295.6Season APEX491

41.6Auto46.3

92Teleop100.1

9.9Endgame35.4

105Consistency65

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	44	19
teleop	117	155
endgame	60	79
foul	5	0
total	226	253

Result

Final score

226 – 253

Prediction correct · off by 75.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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