Qualification · Qualification 34

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

161.4 – 89.12

71%29%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

207 – 109

Prediction correct · off by 32.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 332.5 ±10.5

5411RoboTalons

Season APEX 61.8Event APEX 21.24Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6773Max Throttle Mavericks

Season APEX 218.1Event APEX 130.66Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5682Equus Engineering

Season APEX 52.6Event APEX 9.5Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 131 ±12.8

6526Cyber Rangers

Season APEX 52.4Event APEX 8.93Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9034The Space Dolphins

Season APEX 40.6Event APEX 21.73Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6171⚛ Chain Reaction ⚛

Season APEX 38Event APEX 58.46Rank 25Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5411, 6773, 5682

/ 100 compat

Projected

161.4 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 5411, 6773, 5682

Auto

18.7 12%

Teleop

92.3 57%

Endgame

50.0 31%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6526, 9034, 6171

/ 100 compat

Projected

89.1 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 6526, 9034, 6171

Auto

26.1 27%

Teleop

62.0 65%

Endgame

7.7 8%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.02 · Blue 1.19

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score161.4pts

Blue projected score89.1pts

Red win probability71%

Event bonus sample154alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 54%, blue 56%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 72.3
Score range: 54–196
Upset likelihood: 29%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 316 vs event baseline 192.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

332.5Season APEX131

18.7Auto26.1

92.3Teleop62

50Endgame7.7

102Consistency71

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	14	29
teleop	120	49
endgame	73	31
foul	0	0
total	207	109

Result

Final score

207 – 109

Prediction correct · off by 32.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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