Qualification · Qualification 33

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

175.47 – 305.04

17%83%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

233 – 419

Prediction correct · off by 85.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 343.9 ±14.5

3282Dallas Robo Tigers

Season APEX 57.4Event APEX 12.24Rank 26Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2582PantherBots

Season APEX 211Event APEX 130.72Rank 6Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8408Kiss Kats

Season APEX 75.5Event APEX 32.51Rank 24Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 76

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 531.3 ±13.5

8816Coyotronics

Season APEX 80.4Event APEX -6.15Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 77

10340ITKAN Girls

A+

Season APEX 299.7Event APEX 198.97Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7506WILDCARDS

Season APEX 151.2Event APEX 112.22Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3282, 2582, 8408

/ 100 compat

Projected

175.5 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 3282, 2582, 8408

Auto

23.0 13%

Teleop

94.2 54%

Endgame

58.3 33%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 63%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8816, 10340, 7506

/ 100 compat

Projected

305 pts

~2.4 RP (district)

Teams: 8816, 10340, 7506

Auto

44.4 15%

Teleop

202.6 67%

Endgame

55.9 18%

Strengths

· 10340 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 63%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.04 · Blue 2.42

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score175.5pts

Blue projected score305pts

Red win probability17%

Event bonus sample154alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 63%, blue 61%

Supercharged bonusred 6%, blue 13%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -129.6
Score range: 141–339
Upset likelihood: 17%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 652 vs event baseline 188.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

343.9Season APEX531.3

23Auto44.4

94.2Teleop202.6

58.3Endgame55.9

21Consistency51

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	40	64
teleop	120	285
endgame	63	65
foul	10	5
total	233	419

Result

Final score

233 – 419

Prediction correct · off by 85.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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