Qualification · Qualification 32

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

80.46 – 302.82

6%94%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

40 – 482

Prediction correct · off by 109.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 133.2 ±12.8

9492LadyTalons

Season APEX 57.8Event APEX 32.47Rank 21Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4717Westerner Robotics

Season APEX 53.3Event APEX 42.97Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7121Keller Fusion Robotics

Season APEX 22.1Event APEX 5.02Rank 27Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 649.2 ±9.9

9128ITKAN Robotics

Season APEX 344.8Event APEX 184.89Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5790Proto-Titans

Season APEX 62.5Event APEX -0.42Rank 11Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3005RoboChargers

Season APEX 241.9Event APEX 118.35Rank 14Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9492, 4717, 7121

/ 100 compat

Projected

80.5 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 9492, 4717, 7121

Auto

14.6 21%

Teleop

40.1 57%

Endgame

15.2 22%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9128, 5790, 3005

/ 100 compat

Projected

302.8 pts

~2.6 RP (district)

Teams: 9128, 5790, 3005

Auto

73.0 24%

Teleop

152.1 50%

Endgame

76.2 25%

Strengths

· 9128 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.69 · Blue 2.65

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score80.5pts

Blue projected score302.8pts

Red win probability6%

Event bonus sample154alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 52%, blue 62%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 13%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -222.4
Score range: 47–336
Upset likelihood: 6%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 522 vs event baseline 185.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

133.2Season APEX649.2

14.6Auto73

40.1Teleop152.1

15.2Endgame76.2

41Consistency22

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	22	95
teleop	0	245
endgame	8	127
foul	10	15
total	40	482

Result

Final score

40 – 482

Prediction correct · off by 109.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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