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Experimental AI-assisted analytics, predictions and ratings are estimates, not official results.
FRCinsights
FIT District Farmersville Event

Qualification · Qualification 29

APEX prediction
Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

145.3 – 135.25

53%47%
Actual result
Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

200 – 226

Prediction missed · off by 72.7 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 447.5 ±13.5
7503Radicubs
C
Season APEX 125.2Event APEX 57.29Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
3005RoboChargers
A
Season APEX 241.9Event APEX 107.05Rank 14Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
8816Coyotronics
D
Season APEX 80.4Event APEX -19.04Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 77
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 342.5 ±10.5
5790Proto-Titans
D
Season APEX 62.5Event APEX -18.76Rank 11Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97
9492LadyTalons
D
Season APEX 57.8Event APEX 19.86Rank 21Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
2848Rangers
B
Season APEX 222.2Event APEX 134.15Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7503, 3005, 8816
52
/ 100 compat
Projected
145.3 pts
~1.8 RP (district)
Teams: 7503, 3005, 8816
Auto
15.2 10%
Teleop
74.8 51%
Endgame
56.4 39%
Strengths
  • · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
  • · Thin autonomous coverage
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 61%
Supercharged: 10%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 5790, 9492, 2848
60
/ 100 compat
Projected
135.3 pts
~1.6 RP (district)
Teams: 5790, 9492, 2848
Auto
32.9 26%
Teleop
63.5 49%
Endgame
32.1 25%
Strengths
  • · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
  • · Below-average combined firepower
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 61%
Supercharged: 10%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.8 · Blue 1.56
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score145.3pts
Blue projected score135.3pts
Red win probability53%
Event bonus sample154alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 61%, blue 54%
Supercharged bonusred 10%, blue 6%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
  • District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
  • Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
  • Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin
10.1
Score range
101–179
Upset likelihood
47%
Data cutoff
2026-08-16
Model
apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 426 vs event baseline 186.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

447.5Season APEX342.5
15.2Auto32.9
74.8Teleop63.5
56.4Endgame32.1
75Consistency118

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

PhaseRedBlue
auto3840
teleop82116
endgame8060
foul010
total200226

Result

Final score

200 – 226

Prediction missed · off by 72.7 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree

Match videos

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