Qualification · Qualification 28

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

111.78 – 0

80%20%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

60 – 28

Prediction correct · off by 39.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 151.3 ±13.9

9034The Space Dolphins

Season APEX 40.6Event APEX 29.85Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4717Westerner Robotics

Season APEX 53.3Event APEX 58.64Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3282Dallas Robo Tigers

Season APEX 57.4Event APEX 23.29Rank 26Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 106.9 ±12.7

7121Keller Fusion Robotics

Season APEX 22.1Event APEX -1.11Rank 27Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9105TechnoTalons

Season APEX 36.3Event APEX -2.06Rank 30Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9289Vikings

Season APEX 48.5Event APEX 1.55Rank 31Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9034, 4717, 3282

/ 100 compat

Projected

111.8 pts

~2.2 RP (district)

Teams: 9034, 4717, 3282

Auto

26.7 23%

Teleop

69.4 59%

Endgame

22.0 19%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7121, 9105, 9289

/ 100 compat

Projected

-1.6 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 7121, 9105, 9289

Auto

15.8 0%

Teleop

-32.4 100%

Endgame

11.2 0%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.21 · Blue 0.86

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score111.8pts

Blue projected score-1.6pts

Red win probability80%

Event bonus sample154alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 54%, blue 43%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 111.8
Score range: -35–147
Upset likelihood: 20%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 88 vs event baseline 192.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

151.3Season APEX106.9

26.7Auto15.8

69.4Teleop-32.4

22Endgame11.2

56Consistency74

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	19	14
teleop	38	8
endgame	3	6
foul	0	0
total	60	28

Result

Final score

60 – 28

Prediction correct · off by 39.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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