Qualification · Qualification 26
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
267.91 – 257.89
53%47%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
133 – 340
Prediction missed · off by 108.5 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 331.4 ±11.2
Season APEX 241.9Event APEX 129.4Rank 14Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 52.4Event APEX 46.35Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 37.1Event APEX 92.16Rank 28Record 3-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 494.5 ±9.8
Season APEX 151.2Event APEX 111.47Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 218.1Event APEX 109.37Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 125.2Event APEX 37.05Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 3005, 6526, 7091
79
/ 100 compatProjected
267.9 pts
~1.7 RP (district)
Teams: 3005, 6526, 7091
Auto
39.2 15%
Teleop
177.1 67%
Endgame
46.5 18%
Strengths
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 58%
Supercharged: 4%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 7506, 6773, 7503
79
/ 100 compatProjected
257.9 pts
~1.7 RP (district)
Teams: 7506, 6773, 7503
Auto
27.1 10%
Teleop
144.3 55%
Endgame
89.8 34%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 58%
Supercharged: 4%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.7 · Blue 1.67
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score267.9pts
Blue projected score257.9pts
Red win probability53%
Event bonus sample154alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 58%, blue 65%
Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 6%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 10
- Score range
- 226–300
- Upset likelihood
- 47%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
331.4Season APEX494.5
39.2Auto27.1
177.1Teleop144.3
46.5Endgame89.8
64Consistency78
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 14 | 44 |
| teleop | 80 | 207 |
| endgame | 39 | 74 |
| foul | 0 | 15 |
| total | 133 | 340 |
Result
Final score
133 – 340
Prediction missed · off by 108.5 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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