Qualification · Qualification 25

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

43.57 – 236.81

8%92%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

56 – 154

Prediction correct · off by 47.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 160.4 ±15.3

9289Vikings

Season APEX 48.5Event APEX -15.08Rank 31Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8816Coyotronics

Season APEX 80.4Event APEX -20.63Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 77

7125Tigerbotics

Season APEX 31.5Event APEX 79.28Rank 29Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 328.1 ±11.7

5682Equus Engineering

Season APEX 52.6Event APEX 3.4Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4717Westerner Robotics

Season APEX 53.3Event APEX 85.37Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2848Rangers

Season APEX 222.2Event APEX 148.04Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9289, 8816, 7125

/ 100 compat

Projected

43.6 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 9289, 8816, 7125

Auto

8.7 19%

Teleop

26.7 59%

Endgame

9.5 21%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5682, 4717, 2848

/ 100 compat

Projected

236.8 pts

~2.5 RP (district)

Teams: 5682, 4717, 2848

Auto

47.9 20%

Teleop

157.9 66%

Endgame

35.2 15%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.66 · Blue 2.52

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score43.6pts

Blue projected score236.8pts

Red win probability8%

Event bonus sample154alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 44%, blue 58%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 9%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -193.2
Score range: 11–270
Upset likelihood: 8%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 210 vs event baseline 183.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

160.4Season APEX328.1

8.7Auto47.9

26.7Teleop157.9

9.5Endgame35.2

112Consistency137

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	22	22
teleop	16	87
endgame	18	45
foul	0	0
total	56	154

Result

Final score

56 – 154

Prediction correct · off by 47.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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