Qualification · Qualification 20

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

33.34 – 71.43

38%62%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

45 – 74

Prediction correct · off by 7.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 167.4 ±14.8

5431Titan Robotics

Season APEX 50.7Event APEX 41.79Rank 18Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8816Coyotronics

Season APEX 80.4Event APEX -22.72Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 77

9105TechnoTalons

Season APEX 36.3Event APEX 14.27Rank 30Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 176.7 ±11.6

4641TALON Inc.

Season APEX 61.8Event APEX 46.06Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6526Cyber Rangers

Season APEX 52.4Event APEX 47.93Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5790Proto-Titans

Season APEX 62.5Event APEX -22.56Rank 11Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5431, 8816, 9105

/ 100 compat

Projected

33.3 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 5431, 8816, 9105

Auto

-6.6 0%

Teleop

3.0 10%

Endgame

32.8 100%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4641, 6526, 5790

/ 100 compat

Projected

71.4 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 4641, 6526, 5790

Auto

18.1 25%

Teleop

22.4 31%

Endgame

31.0 43%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.32 · Blue 1.78

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score33.3pts

Blue projected score71.4pts

Red win probability38%

Event bonus sample154alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 48%, blue 50%

Supercharged bonusred 6%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -38.1
Score range: -1–105
Upset likelihood: 38%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 119 vs event baseline 186.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

167.4Season APEX176.7

-6.6Auto18.1

3Teleop22.4

32.8Endgame31

188Consistency59

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	7	21
teleop	24	36
endgame	14	17
foul	0	0
total	45	74

Result

Final score

45 – 74

Prediction correct · off by 7.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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