Qualification · Qualification 2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

203.08 – 120.79

74%26%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

189 – 151

Prediction correct · off by 22.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 310.6 ±11.7

5790Proto-Titans

Season APEX 62.5Event APEX 17.93Rank 11Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2582PantherBots

Season APEX 211Event APEX 176.63Rank 6Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7091KnightOwls

Season APEX 37.1Event APEX 8.52Rank 28Record 3-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 225.7 ±11.7

7506WILDCARDS

Season APEX 151.2Event APEX 97.3Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6526Cyber Rangers

Season APEX 52.4Event APEX 26.22Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7121Keller Fusion Robotics

Season APEX 22.1Event APEX -2.73Rank 27Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5790, 2582, 7091

/ 100 compat

Projected

203.1 pts

~2.2 RP (district)

Teams: 5790, 2582, 7091

Auto

32.2 16%

Teleop

116.2 59%

Endgame

49.6 25%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7506, 6526, 7121

/ 100 compat

Projected

120.8 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 7506, 6526, 7121

Auto

18.6 16%

Teleop

68.7 58%

Endgame

31.6 27%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.17 · Blue 1.12

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score203.1pts

Blue projected score120.8pts

Red win probability74%

Event bonus sample154alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 62%, blue 54%

Supercharged bonusred 6%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 82.3
Score range: 83–241
Upset likelihood: 26%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 340 vs event baseline 211.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

310.6Season APEX225.7

32.2Auto18.6

116.2Teleop68.7

49.6Endgame31.6

12Consistency60

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	23	26
teleop	120	96
endgame	46	29
foul	0	0
total	189	151

Result

Final score

189 – 151

Prediction correct · off by 22.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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