Qualification · Qualification 18
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
242.68 – 262.56
44%56%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
258 – 380
Prediction correct · off by 66.4 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 371.8 ±11.7
Season APEX 115.7Event APEX 78.48Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 38Event APEX 55.42Rank 25Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 218.1Event APEX 108.78Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 506.2 ±10.7
Season APEX 241.9Event APEX 96.99Rank 14Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 211Event APEX 84.19Rank 6Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 53.3Event APEX 81.38Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 7119, 6171, 6773
81
/ 100 compatProjected
242.7 pts
~1.6 RP (district)
Teams: 7119, 6171, 6773
Auto
47.7 20%
Teleop
147.1 61%
Endgame
46.5 19%
Strengths
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 66%
Supercharged: 5%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 3005, 2582, 4717
84
/ 100 compatProjected
262.6 pts
~1.9 RP (district)
Teams: 3005, 2582, 4717
Auto
33.6 13%
Teleop
152.3 59%
Endgame
74.0 28%
Strengths
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 66%
Supercharged: 5%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.61 · Blue 1.89
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score242.7pts
Blue projected score262.6pts
Red win probability44%
Event bonus sample154alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 66%, blue 64%
Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 11%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -19.9
- Score range
- 212–294
- Upset likelihood
- 44%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
371.8Season APEX506.2
47.7Auto33.6
147.1Teleop152.3
46.5Endgame74
51Consistency64
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 44 | 52 |
| teleop | 126 | 227 |
| endgame | 88 | 101 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 258 | 380 |
Result
Final score
258 – 380
Prediction correct · off by 66.4 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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