Qualification · Qualification 13
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
174.66 – 75.96
77%23%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
201 – 141
Prediction correct · off by 45.7 points
Limited current-season data (11 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 316.5 ±11.2
Season APEX 40.6Event APEX 14.89Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 57.8Event APEX 52.28Rank 21Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 218.1Event APEX 107.49Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 426 ±11.1
Season APEX 104Event APEX 0.47Rank 22Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 271.3Event APEX 28.58Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 50.7Event APEX 46.91Rank 18Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 9034, 9492, 6773
65
/ 100 compatProjected
174.7 pts
~2.1 RP (district)
Teams: 9034, 9492, 6773
Auto
17.9 11%
Teleop
95.5 56%
Endgame
55.7 33%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
RP bonus probability
Energized: 52%
Supercharged: 4%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 1745, 8749, 5431
42
/ 100 compatProjected
76 pts
~1.1 RP (district)
Teams: 1745, 8749, 5431
Auto
20.2 29%
Teleop
42.3 61%
Endgame
7.2 10%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 52%
Supercharged: 4%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.13 · Blue 1.13
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score174.7pts
Blue projected score76pts
Red win probability77%
Event bonus sample154alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 52%, blue 61%
Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 5%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 98.7
- Score range
- 44–207
- Upset likelihood
- 23%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
316.5Season APEX426
17.9Auto20.2
95.5Teleop42.3
55.7Endgame7.2
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 41 | 29 |
| teleop | 119 | 62 |
| endgame | 41 | 45 |
| foul | 0 | 5 |
| total | 201 | 141 |
Result
Final score
201 – 141
Prediction correct · off by 45.7 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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