Qualification · Qualification 11

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

119.34 – 169.93

35%65%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

143 – 261

Prediction correct · off by 57.4 points

Limited current-season data (10 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 330.8 ±11.1

3005RoboChargers

Season APEX 241.9Event APEX 58.93Rank 14Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5682Equus Engineering

Season APEX 52.6Event APEX 11.86Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9105TechnoTalons

Season APEX 36.3Event APEX 48.55Rank 30Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 430.4 ±9.8

6526Cyber Rangers

Season APEX 52.4Event APEX 32.96Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8858Beast from the East

Season APEX 226.8Event APEX 64.75Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7506WILDCARDS

Season APEX 151.2Event APEX 72.22Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3005, 5682, 9105

/ 100 compat

Projected

119.3 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 3005, 5682, 9105

Auto

25.5 20%

Teleop

76.5 61%

Endgame

23.3 19%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6526, 8858, 7506

/ 100 compat

Projected

169.9 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 6526, 8858, 7506

Auto

37.1 22%

Teleop

108.1 63%

Endgame

26.6 15%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.31 · Blue 1.96

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score119.3pts

Blue projected score169.9pts

Red win probability35%

Event bonus sample154alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 54%, blue 60%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -50.6
Score range: 87–202
Upset likelihood: 35%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 404 vs event baseline 175.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

330.8Season APEX430.4

25.5Auto37.1

76.5Teleop108.1

23.3Endgame26.6

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	22	37
teleop	76	174
endgame	45	50
foul	0	0
total	143	261

Result

Final score

143 – 261

Prediction correct · off by 57.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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