Qualification · Qualification 10

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

113.4 – 102.05

54%46%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

316 – 56

Prediction correct · off by 124.3 points

Limited current-season data (9 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 451.8 ±14.5

7125Tigerbotics

Season APEX 31.5Event APEX -8.58Rank 29Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8408Kiss Kats

Season APEX 75.5Event APEX 62.38Rank 24Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 76

9128ITKAN Robotics

Season APEX 344.8Event APEX 59.6Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 413.5 ±14

8816Coyotronics

Season APEX 80.4Event APEX 5.24Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 77

4641TALON Inc.

Season APEX 61.8Event APEX 37.21Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8749Farmersville Robotics

Season APEX 271.3Event APEX 59.6Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7125, 8408, 9128

/ 100 compat

Projected

113.4 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 7125, 8408, 9128

Auto

41.1 35%

Teleop

73.7 63%

Endgame

1.5 1%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8816, 4641, 8749

/ 100 compat

Projected

102.1 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 8816, 4641, 8749

Auto

34.0 33%

Teleop

62.3 61%

Endgame

6.2 6%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.73 · Blue 1.56

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score113.4pts

Blue projected score102.1pts

Red win probability54%

Event bonus sample154alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 57%, blue 57%

Supercharged bonusred 7%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 11.4
Score range: 71–144
Upset likelihood: 46%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 372 vs event baseline 173.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

451.8Season APEX413.5

41.1Auto34

73.7Teleop62.3

1.5Endgame6.2

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	65	16
teleop	186	30
endgame	65	10
foul	0	0
total	316	56

Result

Final score

316 – 56

Prediction correct · off by 124.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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